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It seems the future of the Southern Africa Customs Union
will be decided next week Tuesday when the SA foreign affairs minister
Dlamini-Zuma meets EU trade negotiator Peter Mandelson.South Africa is holding out on
signing a so-called EPA (Economic Partnership Agreement) with the EU while all
other SACU members have signed preliminary agreements. This has cast doubt on
the viability and future of SACU.
If SACU is battling to find its Raison d Etre, it must just
widen its horizons to a bigger southern Africa.
Taking the past ten years as a window, it is fairly obvious
that substantial progress has been made with bringing the northern countries,
Angola, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Malawi and Mozambique, closer to the southern belt -
Namibia, Botswana, South Africa, Lesotho and Swaziland.
In terms of infrastructure, there now exists linkages which
were unheard of a decade ago.
For this reason, I propose that we take the 2002 SACU
agreement, which took a long time to renegotiate, and go knocking on the doors
of our northern neighbours. In short, I want to see a SACU that includes all
the countries I have mentioned above.
When I read the Southern African Customs Union Agreement, I
am impressed by the clear and precise way it is drafted. It does not sound like
typical legal jargon; instead it is practical and addresses specific issues
important for running a customs pool. Yet, it is an international agreement and
it contains all the elements an instrument of this nature requires. All we have
to do is extend the membership but only to those countries that are already
linked in many ways.
I realise the process will not be easy, but the awards will
be enormous.
An aggressive programme of integration between my proposed
members will create a financial incentive to integrate our economies. During
all the talk over many years of intra-regional trade, I always wonder where the
immediate and the long-term incentive is. Talk about boosting trade in the
region always departs from a political or a developmental platform without much
regard for the practicalities and for real tangible immediate benefits. A
combined large customs pool will rescue the concept from the politicians and
puts it squarely in the domain of the fiscus.
Now that should be an incentive to any government to
integrate, especially if it views us as an example with almost a third of the
fiscal income originating from the customs pool.
With such a serious fiscal incentive, I am sure it will lead
to a rapid reallocation of resources. This process will start with homogeneous
policies on further infrastructure development, particularly those that
determine the sharing of utilities like water and electricity.
The nine members will also need to harmonise their customs,
excise, and revenue models as well as their methodologies, administration and
operations.
But the nice thing is, we do not need to go figure out
everything from scratch, it already exists in the current SACU and the renegotiated
2002 agreement should, with minor adjustments, be acceptable to the newcomers.
It has been tested and tried so to speak.
The moments we have an agreement on a much larger customs
pool, I am fairly confident we shall be successful when asking the IMF and
World Bank to assist us with the cost of extending this trade umbrella. It will
also create significant synergy since the eight smaller partners will have a
common model to align themselves to, and from the senior partner, South Africa,
will be obtainable every possible expert we may need to iron out the growing
pains.
If I go by the pivotal role of SACU in assisting us to have
at least part of our fiscal income guaranteed, I can only imagine how
attractive this prospect is for smaller members who still battle to diversify
their sources of fiscal income. All these lessons we have already learned and
our experience can provide the newcomers with workable solutions how to expand
the revenue base.
What will be our position to SADC?
I think it is only natural that SADC should basically stay
in tact but it has a different agenda than SACU. In my view SADC is mostly
political and I am sure in fifty years or so, it may even be a reality. But it
lacks a financial incentive and its members are too diversified and spread-out.
I view the dream of a United Africa as just that: a dream.
In reality, I believe Africa will develop around four core units, i.e. the
South, West, East and North.
Enlarging the customs pool in
the South is just the first logical step in creating an effective vehicle to
promote the much-bespoken regional trade block. I also believe it will lead to
a rapid integration of the economies in the pool.
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