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What happened?
It might appear that, with the time change,
there was a season change too. The leap from winter to summer appears to have
been made.
While cooler weather can still occur, but
the likelihood of late frost appears to have receded, though.
The feature is the very high
temperatures recorded across the far north and the generally warmer ranges
recorded, by day and night, for the rest of Namibia.
Temperatures fringing on blood temperatures are to be expected
from mid-September, rather than late August. This might seem like just a few
days difference, but it represents an advance of days of abnormal heat, thus
desiccation, across a range of land which already moisture-short. The effects
go far beyond the range of temperature extremes.
Across a broader spectrum, the world's
weather has shown similar results to warmer conditions. Two hurricanes of
maximum intensity definition have formed in the Caribbean: these demand sea
surface temperatures above 28oC for several days, these temperatures
have been in the 30 range. The ITCZ, currently across the Sahel, has shown a
range of daily variation beyond the normal stability of position. Closer to home though, the sea temperatures
off the Cape have subsided somewhat, but are still above normal. This last fact
can explain the decrease in stormy activity occurring during the past few days.
Abnormal conditions need explanation: does Global Warming fit this bill?
With the increased heat, the dangers of
such warmth cannot be ignored. Veld fires are probably a daily event across the
country, apart from human error, spontaneous combustion is also a likely
response to excessive heat on a dry environment. The growing likelihood of
increased daytime winds and wind-gusts is the response to heat, local
atmospheric overheating, and a local drop in air pressure leading to the
movement of air: wind. Local overheating also develops dust-devils: more wind
gusts. But wind spreads fire quickly, the speed of the spread exceeds the
speeds at which animal life, let alone humans, can get out of the way.
Summertime temperatures also induce the
return of the more unwanted insects and their wares.
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