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What happened?
Last Friday the cold front became rather
more active and, as weather activity normally does, so it brought wind to
emphasize what we may feel, but cannot see.
Wind means that there is weather pattern
movement and this movement meant that as quickly as it had arrived, so would
the same pattern depart.
The weekend brought warming weather and saw
that pattern established for the remainder of the week.
Warming weather also meant the introduction
of summer-style heat for the far north with, according to readings measured,
temperatures in the middle 30oC range. Such temperatures are more
likely to occur from about a month ahead, rather late September than late
August.
The ability for unusual heat, which also
means heating up the lowest layers of air, to create a “heat low” is a regular
expectation.
Heat low means that an area of lower
barometric pressure will become apparent on the weather map. These are prepared
in the forecast office some 6 times a day from 03 hours GMT to 18 hours GMT.
Weather map creation are timed in Greenwich Mean Time to provide cohesion in
times world wide. So while 00 GMT may not demand too much attention in our part
of the world, across the Far East and the far west, too, this is the busy time
of day. But the weather pattern cohesion is established and the daily routine
for a particular time zone carries on.
So the 12 and 15 hour GMT will show this
decline in pressure across those areas where excessive or unusual heat is being
experienced. Should this trend persist for a number of days, there will follow
an influx of air from areas of higher pressure towards this now quite well
marked area of lower pressure. As the inflows persist, some will be cooler and
drier air, but another flow can be somewhat cooler but moister. The opportunity
for an active vortex, providing a swirling motion to the air as it spirals
upwards around the centre of lower pressure and clouds, convective clouds, will
form and the likelihood of thunderstorm(s) become real.
For this full development to happen, this
time of year is still very early.
What's coming?
During the next few days 3 weak cold fronts
reach and pass the Cape. The last one, roundabout Sunday evening, can bring
cooler air, at least, to the far south, but only temporarily.
Otherwise quite balmy weather will persist,
with warming daytime temperatures across the country.
The cold front activity should see coastal
low development and coast-wise movement with the likely intrusion of fog into
the Namib.
A strong anticyclone on the far West
Atlantic should arrive by midweek driving an active cold front. The northward
extent of this arrival can include our south, at least.
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