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Fourth article in a series that discusses
the technical aspects of rainfall
“Daily rainfall” is an approach which gains
no attention from the aspects of literature.
How to apply the mass of figures on record
for just one station into a format from which detail can be extracted may seem
to be too obvious to require a detailed set of steps.
In other words, the individual finds square
one and proceeds.
At the Weather Office, Mrs. Ronel le Grange
had built a spreadsheet to cover monthly detail providing for both monthly and
individual season totals to be instantly available following the completion of
the relevant entry. With the assistance of Dr. Richard Moorsom, then chief
research officer at NEPRU, the existing detail was electronically copied and
transferred to his own data base. This seemed to provide an adequate square
one.
First, though, the certain indicators
needed a presentation. Taljaard and Steyn had in the previously-noted Technical
Paper identified the peak months of the season which they named the Core Months.
These certainly identified a bulk of the individual season's expectations (some
70 per cent in fact) but there remained useful months requiring an identity.
The link of these months gave birth to the title of “Associated Months”.
Together these Core and their Associated months (A&C) contributed 95 per
cent of the expectations: fair enough. The A&C and Core months provide
the focus from which the entire display is, and would be, based.
A third tier does exist: the September,
October and May range. These with a less than 5 per cent overall contribution
have been named “Possible” months.
Even to the most distant observer, the
considerable range of variability to the rainfall scene has several dimensions:
the extent of the season is just one more.
The name El Nino was readily apparent, so
those years were listed with A&C months together and then just the Core Months. Later on, as their
events years came to hand, Benguela El Nino and La Nina were placed in the
adjacent, following El Nino, columns. The full range of years was then given
the A&C and Core month columns listing. Then followed Wet and Dry Years
based on ranges of percentages, appropriate to our rainfall ranges, of the
mean.
The Lotus123 programme does not count
spaces and, with our rainfall patterns in mind, each season, each month, will
all experience enough dot days to take good value from this burden of the
unrecorded.
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