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What happened
Namibian wintertime has much to recommend
in the way of sunshine hours, moderate daytime temperatures and “nice” holiday
weather when compared to Temperate Climate statistics.
Generally, this “nice” pattern has been
present for the past few days.
The coastal weather saw the decline of East
wind conditions.
Inland, daytime temperatures have exceeded
20oC with such warmer temperatures persisting for some 6 hours each
day. Nighttime temperatures have risen from the frosty levels into the lower
single figure range. The difference can be felt as a move from very cold and
chilly to cold but bearable for the human skin.
So it would look like return to “normal”
winter weather; but not quite.
The upper air, that means the levels
between some 30000 to 45000 feet, finds itself cut across by jet stream flows.
These indicate a sharp drop in the Tropopause, the dividing line between the
Troposphere (where weather happens) and the Stratosphere which lies above the
weather as we understand it here on the surface. Although, technically, there
are weather occurrences in the stratospheric levels, these have much to do with
Solar variation rather than heat and cold devolving from air flows at the
surface and immediately above it. Jet stream presence indicates that the normal
upper air controls are displaced, allowing these disturbances “room to move” or
are thrust aside by influences enabling the jet-stream flows to make their
mark. The various patterns of Cirrus cloud, pure ice particles, of the past few
days have provided some visible sign of the upper disturbance.
The usual way of looking at weather and
recording what there is to be seen is done by the personal observation of
thousands of weather observers, world-wide. These reports are dispatched on an
hourly, 3-hourly, 6-hourly or 24-hourly basis (depending on the status of the
observation station) to the regional centre and thence internationally. For the
past generation, these surface observations have been supplements by
observations from outer space: Satellite images. These are used to provide
indications of weather, in particular, from areas where surface observations
are scarce or non-existent. As one can imagine, this weather observation tool
is of considerable use to the forecaster and weather users in aviation and
maritime travel, and in agriculture.
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