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What happened
The sequence of cold weather and overnight
frost came and partially went. A return to warmer days was in place by Tuesday:
but persistent wind limited the day-time warmth. The new cut-off low arrived
and came into its own over the Karoo during Wednesday.
For the week, the expectation was that
cloud would develop, in the daytime at least, and that some showers were
possible from this development. The cut-off vortex and the northward extending
upper air trough would provide enough disturbance, excite the potentially
unstable air in which the cloud would form, to enable shower-cloud development.
This did not happen.
Although clouds were present from south of
the Etosha basin and eastward from Tuesday until Thursday, the active system
was far away to the east over Botswana and the eastern half of South Africa.
The regular approach of a cold front brings
about the development of a weather feature unique to southern Africa and our
coast in particular. As the cold front and its trough approach, so the wind
strength increases, blowing over the escarpment towards the, still distant,
trough. The air flow creates a situation rather like the experience of
sheltering behind a wall from wind. The wind ascends the wall and creates a
very localized circular wind flow pattern just behind the wall, or so-called
eddies. This describes the wind flow patterns experienced along our coast, from
about Walvis and further south. On the synoptic weather map this is described
as a “coastal low”. As the cold front nears, so the coastal low “runs” south,
along the coast, ahead of the cold front, and then slips right around the
southern part of the continent to peter out just north of the Maputo Bay area.
Despite east-wind conditions in the
interior, it collapsed as it approached the coastal low, hence no Oosweer at
the coast but in the wake of this disturbance a north-westerly flow arrives.
This brings the moist, fog-producing air as evidenced in Walvis and Swakop.
This sequence occurred almost every day since last weekend.
What's coming
Inland and this far north in the
subcontinent, we will be bystanders as the new cold front approaches and
invades the far south.
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