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Written by John Olzsewski
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Our weather changed its costume twice in
quick succession over the past two weeks. A week ago, the weather stage seemed
fairly settled, with fronts moving quickly into the south but departing just as
rapidly. This week the cold front had other ideas. As it arrived, the upper air trough
deepened and became more active. The surface trough gained strength, thus
advancing much further north than expected. These developments took shape
across a 12-hour or so time space. In the much colder air behind, either a
cut-off vortex developed or a secondary low developed. The effect was the same. Bearing in mind the upper air
trough and its induction of moist alto-level air the rainfall prospects in its
area of activity boomed. Rains began during Saturday, drifted eastward and
continued (across much of the south) into the new week. This pattern was very
similar to events in October 2005.
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Written by John Olzsewski
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We lay in a weather see-saw as the main
zone of activity wandered across our skies from west to east and then reversed.
This has placed Namibia on the western edge of an alto level anticyclone, The
flow from approximately north to south meant a favourable importation of Congo
air. This moist belt, as seen above Windhoek on Monday morning, can be more
than 3000 feet thick. It is often evidenced by the thick white vapour trail
behind airliner jets.With surface heating during
the days, convection currents have by late afternoon generated accelerated
development in and through this layer resulting in thundershowers within the
rather narrow band of weather-friendly air. But useful rain fell from the
escarpment area eastward.
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Written by John Olzsewski
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The introduction of a layer of moist air,
sufficient to contain alto-level clouds and with a depth in which sufficient
vertical development could cause local showers was maintained. Not only
maintained but also expanded as trough-line development, south of us,
approached and pulled in more tropical moisture. There was sufficient activity
to see isolated cumulonimbus cloud form and precipitate their excess moisture:
rain. Although slight showers did fall at several places, Nabas, in the far
southeast, had a 20mm fall. Central Katatura received a 13mm measure.
This pattern increased in its intensity as
a major cold front arrived by Monday.
The clearance was suitably brief and the
return of some upper air moisture was evident by mid-week.
The significance of all this
is that such weather sequences smack of the La Nina weather expectations. The
anticyclone pushing Monday's cold front tracked along almost 40oS and extended
its ridge down to Antarctica: the resultant airflow has brought snow to the
high Drakensberg.
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